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Năm thứ 28(4), Tháng 4/ 2017


Tiêu thụ điện năng, đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài và tăng trưởng kinh tế Việt Nam: Phương pháp ARDL
Đinh Thị Thu Hồng, Huỳnh Thái Huy & Lê Thị Kim Loan
Xem: 123 | Tải về: 0
Từ khóaTiêu thụ điện năng; Tăng trưởng kinh tế; ARDL; Toda-Yamamoto.
Trang64-88
Trích dẫnĐinh Thị Thu Hồng, Huỳnh Thái Huy & Lê Thị Kim Loan (2017), "Tiêu thụ điện năng, đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài và tăng trưởng kinh tế Việt Nam: Phương pháp ARDL", Tạp chí Phát triển Kinh tế 28(4), 64-88.
Tóm tắtQuá trình phát triển kinh tế và công nghiệp hoá ở các quốc gia cho thấy tầm quan trọng ngày một gia tăng của các yếu tố năng lượng. Mục đích của nghiên cứu nhằm tìm hiểu mối quan hệ nhân quả giữa tiêu thụ điện năng, đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài và tăng trưởng kinh tế ở VN giai đoạn 1986‒2014. Bằng phương pháp kiểm định nhân quả Toda-Yamamoto và hồi quy phân phối trễ ARDL, kết quả thực nghiệm cho thấy việc tiêu thụ điện năng và đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài có tác động tích cực đến tăng trưởng kinh tế trong dài hạn. Nghiên cứu phát hiện mối quan hệ nhân quả một chiều từ đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài đến tăng trưởng kinh tế, mối quan hệ hai chiều giữa tiêu thụ điện năng và tăng trưởng kinh tế, ủng hộ cho giả thuyết feedback.
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